Comments on: Are skewed polls over-sampling Dems?

By: cynthia curran

cynthia curran — Thu, 04 Oct 2012 02:03:20 +0000

This is also a comment on business interest in California supporting the expansion of the hispanic population well guess who supports prop 30, hispanics.

By: cynthia curran

cynthia curran — Thu, 04 Oct 2012 02:01:09 +0000

Well, people are into envy, the groups that support it, Blacks, Hispanics and even some of the asian population have lower average incomes than whites in the state, the only high income area supporting it is the Bay Area. Post college mainly that are lawyers or teachers/

By: SkippingDog

SkippingDog — Wed, 26 Sep 2012 19:50:13 +0000

If Romney really is ahead of Obama in any of the swing states or nationally, why isn’t the Romney campaign releasing any information about it from their own internal polling?

Picking out a blogger who unscientifically reconfigures statistical data to meet his own outcome requirements, publishes them on a conservative blog, and then uses the outcome to argue that the clear loser is really winning is the epitome of the right-wing echo chamber effect. Posting such drivel on CWD merely bounces the echo off of another wall.

By: Hondo

Hondo — Tue, 25 Sep 2012 17:17:06 +0000

The reason why they over state the dems is because they don’t poll the ‘non english speaking voters’, code for the non citizen voters which was a big deal in colorado in 2010 along with the Nevada senate race. Polls showed Reid tied or behind then he squeaked out a 1 point victory. Exit polling showed spanish speakers were the difference in Nevada.
Why are both sides pouring millions of dollars into spanish speaking adds?
Hondo

By: Rex the Wonder Dog!

Rex the Wonder Dog! — Tue, 25 Sep 2012 17:15:41 +0000

It’s all good. they don’t have to add up to 100.
What the poll said was 66% of the Democrats would vote yes on 30.
27% of Republicans would vote yes,
And 57% of ‘other, no preference’ would vote yes.
Of the total likely voters, 51% would vote yes.

And since the majority of CA voters are now Independants 60% of TOTAL voters will vote NO.

You heard here first, from the Wonder Dog, Prop 30 goes down in flames, and my guess is in a landslide in the 60-40 range.

By: Rex the Wonder Dog!

Rex the Wonder Dog! — Tue, 25 Sep 2012 17:15:23 +0000

And since the majority of CA voters are now Independants 60% of TOTAL voters will vote NO.

You heard here first, from the Wonder Dog, Prop 30 goes down in flames, and my guess is in a landslide in the 60-40 range.

By: Douglas

Douglas — Tue, 25 Sep 2012 09:49:24 +0000

It’s all good. they don’t have to add up to 100.

What the poll said was 66% of the Democrats would vote yes on 30.

27% of Republicans would vote yes,

And 57% of ‘other, no preference’ would vote yes.

Of the total likely voters, 51% would vote yes.

By: Rex the Wonder Dog!

Rex the Wonder Dog! — Tue, 25 Sep 2012 06:35:50 +0000

Prop 30 is DOA, all you need to do is read the comments on public pensions in online news/media outlets. 10-1 against 30.

By: CalWatchdog

CalWatchdog — Tue, 25 Sep 2012 02:03:47 +0000

They rarely add up to 100 percent. I am not sure why.

Katy

By: Dyspeptic

Dyspeptic — Tue, 25 Sep 2012 01:49:55 +0000

I hope your right Katie but you know me, I don’t like to underestimate the foolishness of Kalifornia voters.

“66 percent were registered Democratic, 27 percent registered Republican, and 57 percent had no party preference/other.”

Am I missing something here? Shouldn’t these numbers add up to 100%?

If the 66% figure is correct then Democrats are oversampled by a 50% margin since registered Democrats are only 43% of the electorate.