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	<title>Arlen Specter &#8211; CalWatchdog.com</title>
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		<title>Having no fixed beliefs could pay off for Nathan Fletcher</title>
		<link>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/07/17/no-fixed-beliefs-fletcher-could-end-up-succeeding-filner/</link>
					<comments>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/07/17/no-fixed-beliefs-fletcher-could-end-up-succeeding-filner/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Chris Reed]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jul 2013 13:15:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inside Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics and Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[party switching]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bob Filner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phil Gramm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carl DeMaio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Reed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Brooks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lorena Gonzalez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nathan Fletcher]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Diego]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arlen Specter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christine Forester]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lincoln Chaffee]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.calwatchdog.com/?p=46049</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Sometimes, when lawmakers change parties, it has an obvious logic. When Texas Congressman Phil Gramm, a free-market economist before entering politics, switched from Democrat to Republican during Ronald Reagan&#8217;s first]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="alignleft size-full wp-image-46054" alt="fletcher.assemblyman" src="http://www.calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/fletcher.assemblyman.jpg" width="297" height="267" align="right" hspace="20" />Sometimes, when lawmakers change parties, it has an obvious logic. When Texas Congressman Phil Gramm, a free-market economist before entering politics, switched from Democrat to Republican during Ronald Reagan&#8217;s first term, it made sense. Gramm had little in common with a Democratic Party led by Ted Kennedy and Tip O&#8217;Neill. When former Rhode Island Sen. Lincoln Chaffee quit the GOP in 2007 to become first an independent and now his state&#8217;s Democratic governor, it made sense. The wealthy blueblood had little in common with a Republican Party that champions aggressive social conservatism.</p>
<p>Then there&#8217;s Nathan Fletcher.</p>
<p>The former San Diego assemblyman went from being a <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MsFZkNmm2v8" target="_blank" rel="noopener">GOP true-believer</a> candidate for mayor in early March 2012 to an independent disdainful of both parties in late March 2012 to a Democrat who <a href="http://voiceofsandiego.org/2013/05/04/fletcher-goes-dem-so-much-for-independence-and-more-reactions/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">sang his new party&#8217;s praises</a> in May of this year.</p>
<p>He was a devout GOPer when he was trying to win the party&#8217;s nomination for mayor. When the nomination went to Carl DeMaio, he became a devout both-parties-stink guy championed by The New York Times&#8217; <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/30/opinion/brooks-a-moderate-conservative-dilemma.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">David Brooks</a>. When that ploy failed and he finished a distant third in the June mayoral primary, Fletcher realized he couldn&#8217;t win as an independent and he couldn&#8217;t go back to the GOP. That left him pretty much no choice but to become a Democrat. The rapidity with which his political views changed simply make it impossible, a la Gramm or Chaffee, to see his shift as a principled evolution or as a reflection of the reality that national parties change as time goes by.</p>
<h3>The politics of convenience may pay off grandly for this chameleon</h3>
<p><img decoding="async" class="alignleft size-full wp-image-46055" alt="Sammy" src="http://www.calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/Sammy.png" width="259" height="256" align="right" hspace="20" />Instead, Fletcher&#8217;s &#8220;evolution&#8221; seemed the epitome of the politics of convenience. (Or, to use a mid-20th-century reference, Fletcher seems like an affable political version of <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2000/05/07/movies/the-long-run-of-sammy-glick.html?pagewanted=all&amp;src=pm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sammy Glick</a>.)</p>
<p>But incredibly enough, it seems to be working. As Democrats watch scandal-scarred San Diego Mayor Bob Filner <a href="http://www.utsandiego.com/news/2013/jul/15/contrite-no-more-filner-digs-in-for-an-ugly-fight/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">flail away</a>, many are beginning to think about who to back in a special election or a recall election.</p>
<p>There are obvious candidates &#8212; City Council President Todd Gloria; former state Sen. Christine Kehoe; former Assemblywoman Lori Saldana &#8212; who have long personal ties to Lorena Gonzalez, the local union kingpin who recently became an Assembly member. But by several accounts, Gonzalez is pushing hard for Fletcher.</p>
<p>As powerful as Gonzalez may be, however, it is hard to see Fletcher &#8212; a professed Ronald Reagan lover until 16 months ago &#8212; getting much institutional Democratic support.</p>
<p>So what would he need to overcome this antipathy? Money.</p>
<h3>A Clinton &#8216;bundler&#8217; &#8212; and Fletcher fan &#8212; in La Jolla</h3>
<p>Which might be no problem for Nathan the Chameleon. This is from the <a href="http://www.sandiegoreader.com/weblogs/news-ticker/2013/jul/16/national-obama-bundler-hatching-fletcher-for-mayor/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">San Diego Reader</a>.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>&#8220;Christine Forester, listed by Newsweek magazine as the <a href="http://www.sandiegoreader.com/news/2008/nov/12/breaking-news-1/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">nation&#8217;s second biggest &#8220;bundler” of contributions to the 2008 campaign of President Barack Obama, </a>having collected more than $500,000 from a variety of friends and associates in that year alone, is spearheading a behind-the-scenes effort to draft newly minted Democrat and ex-GOP Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher for mayor if incumbent Bob Filner falters in his effort to remain in office.&#8221;</em></p>
<p>This is getting interesting. Especially since DeMaio&#8217;s emails the past few days sure seem like hints that he is considering another run for mayor instead of his expected  2014 House race against weak first-termer Scott Peters, D-San Diego.</p>
<p>Could we see DeMaio vs. Fletcher again? So soon?</p>
<p>Maybe.</p>
<p>But maybe we&#8217;ll also see more expedient party switching. Nathan Fletcher hopped around in a way that made Arlen Specter&#8217;s <a href="http://www.moonbattery.com/archives/2009/07/benedict_arlen_3.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">political rebranding</a> seem saintly and tarnish-free &#8212; and apparently without consequence!</p>
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