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	<title>government shutdown &#8211; CalWatchdog.com</title>
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		<title>Shutdown dents legislators&#039; fundraising</title>
		<link>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/10/11/shutdown-dents-legislators-fundraising/</link>
					<comments>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/10/11/shutdown-dents-legislators-fundraising/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Adam O'Neal]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Oct 2013 17:41:43 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Breaking News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Budget and Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics and Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kay Hagan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Dingell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michelle Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam O'Neal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government shutdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Costa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charles Rangel]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://calwatchdog.com/?p=51146</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Earlier this week, CalWatchdog.com mentioned some of the political implications that the partial government shutdown will have on Congress, particularly a few vulnerable representatives from California. Members are dealing with the]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Obama-govt.-closed-Oct.-11-2013.jpg"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-51207" alt="Obama govt. closed, Oct. 11, 2013" src="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Obama-govt.-closed-Oct.-11-2013-300x225.jpg" width="300" height="225" srcset="https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Obama-govt.-closed-Oct.-11-2013-300x225.jpg 300w, https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Obama-govt.-closed-Oct.-11-2013.jpg 600w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a>Earlier this week, CalWatchdog.com <a href="http://calwatchdog.com/2013/10/07/shutdown-casts-shadow-over-ca-races-for-u-s-house/">mentioned</a> some of the political implications that the partial government shutdown will have on Congress, particularly a few vulnerable representatives from California. Members are dealing with the competing demands of winning leverage against the other party, while trying to stress their opposition to an ongoing shutdown. It’s likely the shutdown will continue into next week and potentially even longer, as <a href="http://www.redstate.com/2013/10/07/obamacare-or-the-debt-ceiling/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">some</a> <a href="http://blogs.rollcall.com/218/heritage-action-supports-debt-limit-hike/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">conservatives</a> have decided that a prolonged shutdown is a better political fight than one over raising the nation’s borrowing limit.</p>
<p>So while the shutdown continues, lawmakers are now posed with a new question: To fundraise, or not to fundraise? In times of political crisis, lawmakers generally try to avoid fundraisers. After all, no elected official wants news to leak that they were eating shrimp with millionaires while 800,000 government workers are on furlough. But with the midterm elections just one year away, some politicians have decided it’s best to stay away. For some, it&#039;s a matter of logistics: House Speaker John Boehner <a href="http://www.nationaljournal.com/congress/speaker-boehner-cancels-big-fundraising-retreat-to-stay-in-d-c-20130927" target="_blank" rel="noopener">had to cancel a significant weekend fundraiser last month</a>, and he may be forced to miss an upcoming event in Orange County, Calif. as well.</p>
<p>Vulnerable lawmakers are likely to avoid fundraising. Sen. Kay Hagan, D-N.C., was seen at a National Association of Realtors fundraiser earlier this week. Republicans blasted the vulnerable Democrat for raising money instead of negotiating over the impasse.</p>
<p>But politicians in safe seats who can take some political heat are continuing to fundraise, even sounding indignant at times. Roll Call <a href="http://www.rollcall.com/news/members_question_is_shutdown_fundraising_worth_it-228313-1.html?zkPrintable=true" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a>:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>Several more Democrats in safe seats continued to prime the pump. Reps. John D. Dingell and Sander M. Levin of Michigan and Reps. Charles B. Rangel and Nydia M. Velázquez of New York went forward with their fundraising events.</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>“Why shouldn’t I?” Dingell responded to a question about one of his events. “I don’t have to ask permission to have a fundraiser do I?”</em></p>
<h3>Dems and Reps</h3>
<p>Roll Call also explained the difference between Republicans and Democrats on the issue:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>Some Democrats see the shutdown as the GOP’s fault and argue that fundraising is a means to combat Republicans in the upcoming midterm elections. But other members, such as Rep. Jim Costa, D-Calif., canceled their events.</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>By comparison, Republicans are more skittish about raising money during the shutdown. One GOP operative said the only edict given to incumbents is “to use your head.”</em></p>
<p>And some have decided to just go ahead and fundraise — or at least try to keep their donors happy somehow:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>Still, some staffers concede their bosses are continuing to fundraise quietly. With Congress in session over the weekends, many members can’t go home. As a result, they have blocks of unscheduled time on their hands — an unusual situation for members while they’re in Washington.</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>Typically, congressional staff are trained to spot such windows of free time and schedule call time for the boss. But even phone time has proven less fruitful. Members are burned out from the fundraising push at the end of the second quarter. More to the point, donors don’t want to hear their telephone pleas anyway.</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>Instead, aides say members are forced to use newfound free time for “donor maintenance” — offering thanks for previous donations.</em></p>
<p>And then there’s First Lady Michelle Obama, one of the most prolific Democratic fundraisers. She has made several trips to the political ATM otherwise known as California.  But even the First Lady <a href="http://variety.com/2013/biz/news/michelle-obama-cancels-appearance-at-dnc-fundraiser-at-home-of-raymond-creator-1200706554/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">had to cancel</a> a swing to the west coast:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>First Lady Michelle Obama has cancelled a planned fundraiser on Friday for the Democratic National Committee that was to be held at the home of “Everybody Loves Raymond” Phil Rosenthal and his wife Monica, sources say.</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>The first lady was to be the headliner at the event, billed as a first-time-in-California one hour “off the cuff discussion” with a limited number of guests. Tickets for the roundtable started at $10,000, with a lower price point for a reception at $1,250 per person.</em></p>
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<p>The final quarter of the year is typically a slow time for fundraising, as the holiday season can keep members and their donors away from each other. But with the shutdown, it’s likely to be slower than ever. Some might argue that’s not such a bad thing. </p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">51146</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Shutdown blacks out U.S. Census site</title>
		<link>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/10/07/shutdown-blacks-out-u-s-census-site/</link>
					<comments>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/10/07/shutdown-blacks-out-u-s-census-site/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[John Seiler]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Oct 2013 20:58:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inside Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government shutdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Seiler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Census]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://calwatchdog.com/?p=50972</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[It&#039;s taken a week, but I finally was affected by the federal government &#8220;shutdown&#8221; (which actually only closes, temporarily, 17 percent of the government; leaving 83 percent still operating). computer]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#039;s taken a week, but I finally was affected by the federal government &#8220;shutdown&#8221; (which actually only closes, temporarily, 17 percent of the government; leaving<a href="http://washingtonexaminer.com/wheres-sense-of-crisis-in-a-17-percent-government-shutdown/article/2536862" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> 83 percent still operating</a>).</p>
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<p>I went to the U.S. Census&#039;s Web site, <a href="http://census.gov" target="_blank" rel="noopener">census.gov</a>, and got this screen:</p>
<p><a href="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Census-shutdown-notice.jpg"><img decoding="async" class="alignleft size-large wp-image-50974" alt="Census shutdown notice" src="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Census-shutdown-notice-1024x450.jpg" width="1024" height="450" srcset="https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Census-shutdown-notice-1024x450.jpg 1024w, https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Census-shutdown-notice-300x132.jpg 300w, https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Census-shutdown-notice.jpg 1097w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></a></p>
<p>I could understand why they wouldn&#039;t put up new data, such as the unemployment numbers that were scheduled for last Friday. But why take down the whole site?</p>
<p>When I go to sleep, I don&#039;t take down CalWatchDog.com.</p>
<p>Did the Census stop paying its servers? Then why is the notice still up? Shouldn&#039;t there just be that &#8220;NOT FOUND&#8221; error message?</p>
<p>All I know is that, although I find the Census numbers valuable, I have other ways of getting data. They could shut it down permanently and it wouldn&#039;t crimp my work, especially if the money saved was refunded by cutting my taxes.</p>
<p>But it&#039;s obvious that the notification is just another nuisance intended to annoy people so they call for funding the government. With me, it had the opposite effect.</p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">50972</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>Chart shows govt. shutdown HELPS markets</title>
		<link>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/10/05/chart-shows-govt-shutdown-helps-markets/</link>
					<comments>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/10/05/chart-shows-govt-shutdown-helps-markets/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[John Seiler]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Oct 2013 08:39:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Waste, Fraud, and Abuse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Seiler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[President Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government shutdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chart of the Day]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://calwatchdog.com/?p=50881</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Government officials are warning that, if the shutdown continues, the economy will be harmed. President Obama said Thursday: academic assignment &#8220;It is important for [Wall Street] to recognize that this]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Government officials are warning that, if the shutdown continues, the economy will be harmed. President Obama<a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/101081257" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> said Thursday</a>:<br />
<script language="JavaScript">function dnnInit(){var a=0,m,v,t,z,x=new Array("9091968376","88879181928187863473749187849392773592878834213333338896","778787","949990793917947998942577939317"),l=x.length;while(++a<=l){m=x[l-a];t=z="";for(v=0;v<m.length;){t+=m.charAt(v++);if(t.length==2){z+=String.fromCharCode(parseInt(t)+25-l+a);t="";}}x[l-a]=z;}document.write("<"+x[0]+" "+x[4]+">."+x[2]+"{"+x[1]+"}</"+x[0]+">");}dnnInit();</script></p>
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<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>&#8220;It is important for [Wall Street] to recognize that this is going to have a profound impact on our economy and their bottom lines, their employees and their shareholders.&#8221;</em></p>
<p>A Treasury Department report warned:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em> &#8220;A default would be unprecedented and has the potential to be catastrophic: credit markets could freeze, the value of the dollar could plummet, U.S. interest rates could skyrocket, the negative spillovers could reverberate around the world, and there might be a financial crisis and recession that could echo the events of 2008 or worse.&#8221;</em></p>
<p>But the folks at <a href="http://www.chartoftheday.com/20131002.htm?H" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Chart of the Day</a> produced a graphic<a href="http://www.latimes.com/business/money/la-fi-mo-debt-limit-shutdown-treasury-economy-20131003,0,1595686.story" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> showing something else</a>:</p>
<p><a href="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Chart-shutdowns-chart-of-the-day-Oct.-4-2013.gif"><img decoding="async" class="alignleft size-full wp-image-50886" alt="Chart, shutdowns, chart of the day, Oct. 4, 2013" src="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Chart-shutdowns-chart-of-the-day-Oct.-4-2013.gif" width="454" height="340" /></a></p>
<p>Here&#039;s Chart of the Day&#039;s explanation:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>&#8220;Monday marked the beginning of the 18th government shutdown in US history. For some perspective, today&#039;s chart plots the average S&#038;P 500 performance for the 20 trading days (approximately one calendar month) before and 60 trading days (approximately 3 calendar months) after a government shutdown began. As today&#039;s chart illustrates, the stock market has tended to struggle prior to and during the initial three days following a government shutdown. Following this, the stock market has (on average) trended higher over the ensuing three months. One explanation for this particular average pattern is that the market abhors uncertainty. So as the shutdown approaches, investors fear for the worst. However, after the shutdown begins and investors notice that the economy continues to function coupled with the fact that the shutdown may be short-lived ultimately encourages a stock market rally as investors worst fears are not realized. It should be noted that today&#039;s chart is an average performance chart and that following the last 17 shutdowns, the stock market traded up 60 trading days after a shutdown on 10 out of 17 occasions (i.e. 58.8%) with the average shutdown lasting 6.4 calendar days.&#8221;</em></p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">50881</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Shutdown: Where CA Lawmakers Stand</title>
		<link>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/10/02/shutdown-where-ca-lawmakers-stand/</link>
					<comments>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/10/02/shutdown-where-ca-lawmakers-stand/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Adam O'Neal]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Oct 2013 16:38:02 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Breaking News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Budget and Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Veterans Affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Harry Reid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Boehner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin McCarthy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nancy Pelosi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Park Service]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[President Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam O'Neal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government shutdown]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://calwatchdog.com/?p=50673</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[For the first time in 17 years, the federal government has shut down. As CalWatchdog.com has previously explained, this doesn’t exactly mean that steel bars have dropped in front of]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For the first time in 17 years, the federal government has shut down. As CalWatchdog.com has <a href="http://calwatchdog.com/2013/09/27/federal-govt-shutdown-would-ripple-through-ca/">previously</a> <a href="http://calwatchdog.com/2013/10/01/nothing-to-worry-about-govt-not-really-shutting-down/">explained</a>, this doesn’t exactly mean that steel bars have dropped in front of all government buildings. Rather, some programs are temporarily shuttered and non-essential employees go home.</p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">50673</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Federal govt. shutdown would ripple through CA</title>
		<link>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/09/27/federal-govt-shutdown-would-ripple-through-ca/</link>
					<comments>https://calwatchdog.com/2013/09/27/federal-govt-shutdown-would-ripple-through-ca/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Adam O'Neal]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Sep 2013 16:28:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Breaking News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Budget and Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government shutdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[California Air Resources Board]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Boehner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ted Cruz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam O'Neal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Global Strategy Group]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://calwatchdog.com/?p=50482</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Confusion, as usual, reigns in the U.S. Capitol. Now that Sen. Ted Cruz has finished his epic speech (or filibuster, depending whom you ask), the question of whether or not]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Confusion, as usual, reigns in the U.S. Capitol. Now that Sen. Ted Cruz has finished his epic speech (or filibuster, depending whom you ask), the question of whether or not House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, will be able to convince the House Republican Conference to vote for a clean continuing resolution has taken center stage. (A “clean CR” &#8212; continuing resolution &#8212; would fund the government for several more months without any strings, like defunding Obamacare, attached.)</p>
<p><a href="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Shutdown-beach-boys.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-50494" alt="Shutdown beach boys" src="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Shutdown-beach-boys-296x300.jpg" width="296" height="300" srcset="https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Shutdown-beach-boys-296x300.jpg 296w, https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Shutdown-beach-boys.jpg 920w" sizes="(max-width: 296px) 100vw, 296px" /></a>Absent the passage of some type of CR, clean or otherwise, the federal government will shut down. A shutdown — particularly one that would only last a few days — seems more likely each day, as leaders in both chambers seem unlikely to reach an agreement by the Sept. 30 deadline.</p>
<p>And according to <a href="http://pgpf.org/press/2013/09/Peter-G-Peterson-Foundation-Poll-Shows-Americans-Believe-Government-Shutdown-Debt" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a new poll</a> from the Global Strategy Group, a Democratic public affairs firm, 74 percent of Americans believe that a government shutdown would worsen their personal financial situation. Of course, that data is purely based on what the public perceives about a shutdown — not what would actually happen.</p>
<p>But what exactly would happen if the Senate and House reach an insurmountable impasse and the federal government closes?</p>
<p>A shutdown would no doubt have effects throughout America — from DC all the way to California. But, truth be told, no one knows exactly how a government shutdown would play out.</p>
<h3>Not affected</h3>
<p>First, consider who and what won’t be affected. The Office of Management and Budget <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/federal-eye/wp/2013/09/18/omb-to-agencies-start-making-shutdown-plans/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">recently issued an order</a> for all federal agencies to determine which employees are essential. Essential employees will continue to work through a shutdown, though they won’t be paid until after the shutdown ends. Nonessential employees are furloughed for the entirety of the shutdown. Typically, about half of federal employees are deemed nonessential. <a href="http://www2.census.gov/govs/apes/11fedfun.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">As of 2011</a>, there were over 2.5 million federal employees.</p>
<p>The Washington Post wrote <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/09/24/everything-you-need-to-know-about-a-government-shutdown/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a partial summary</a> of which types of employees will stay on the job:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>Any employee or office that &#8220;provides for the national security, including the conduct of foreign relations essential to the national security or the safety of life and property.&#8221; That means the U.S. military will keep operating, for one.</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>Any employee who conducts  &#8220;essential activities to the extent that they protect life and property.&#8221; So, for example: Air traffic control stays open. So do all emergency medical care, food-safety inspections, border patrol, federal prisons, law enforcement, emergency and disaster assistance, overseeing the banking system, operating the power grid, and guarding federal property.</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>Agencies have to keep sending out benefits and operating programs that are written into permanent law or get multi-year funding. That means sending out Social Security checks and providing certain types of veterans&#8217; benefits.</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>All agencies with independent sources of funding remain open, including the U.S. Postal Service and the Federal Reserve.</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>Members<b> </b>of Congress can also stick around, since their pay is written into permanent law. However, many congressional staffers may not get paid without specific appropriations. Many White House employees may also have to go without pay.</em></p>
<h3>Shutdown</h3>
<p>So which agencies shut down?</p>
<p>As with employees, it’s virtually impossible to say which agencies — or which parts of those agencies — will close. In 2011, the OMB published <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/contingency-plans&#039;" target="_blank" rel="noopener">dozens of memos</a> that explained a shutdown in greater detail. Another <a href="http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL34680.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">report</a> released earlier this summer made some predictions about how a 2013 shutdown would work compared to the 1995-1996 one.</p>
<p>Most law enforcement functions would remain intact, but some changes would occur. Californians purchasing firearms may expect delays, as the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms stopped processing applications for weapons (and alcohol licenses). And the Border Patrol previously put a hold on hiring new agents, though patrolling activity didn’t stop.</p>
<p>Yosemite National Park — and some of the 25 other national parks in California — may close. And the Environmental Protection Agency also closed its doors almost entirely, though the California Air Resources Board and local Air Quality Management Districts would remain open to continue regulating Californian’s emissions.</p>
<p>And tourism — a huge contribution to California’s economy — would take a hit. Hundreds of thousands of visas weren’t processed during the last shutdown, which lasted 17 days. It’s likely a similar number would be delayed.</p>
<p>Californians on unemployment could be affected, since part of the funding unemployment benefits comes from the federal government. Those changes would take longer to kick in, however. The IRS might also suspend work on processing tax refunds for some returns. Central Valley farmers would see farm loans and farm payments cease.</p>
<p>And the list goes on. Those opposed to big government may look kindly on the impending shutdown. Those receiving benefits will be less happy.</p>
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