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		<title>Jerry Brown for president? Two interesting angles</title>
		<link>https://calwatchdog.com/2016/01/28/jerry-brown-president-two-interesting-angles/</link>
					<comments>https://calwatchdog.com/2016/01/28/jerry-brown-president-two-interesting-angles/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Chris Reed]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jan 2016 13:57:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics and Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bernie Sanders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1992 Brown]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://calwatchdog.com/?p=85948</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Sacramento Bee columnist Dan Walters observed in a column last Friday that Gov. Jerry Brown might still have the White House itch: Does the three-time White House hopeful read about]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-67663 size-full" src="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/in-debate-brown-mocks-mississipp.jpg" alt="In debate, Brown mocks Mississippi and Arkansas (i.e., the Clintons)" width="480" height="360" align="right" hspace="20" srcset="https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/in-debate-brown-mocks-mississipp.jpg 480w, https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/in-debate-brown-mocks-mississipp-293x220.jpg 293w" sizes="(max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px" />Sacramento Bee columnist Dan Walters observed in a <a href="http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/dan-walters/article55965370.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">column</a> last Friday that Gov. Jerry Brown might still have the White House itch:</p>
<blockquote><p>Does the three-time White House hopeful read about Hillary Clinton’s slide and left-winger Bernie Sanders’ surge in their presidential duel and wonder whether party leaders might, in desperation, turn to a popular, seasoned big-state governor who’s just a few years older?</p></blockquote>
<p>This prompted some reaction in political circles before it was drowned out Saturday by reports former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg might make an independent bid for the presidency.</p>
<p>But there are two interesting angles here worth noting. One is that the presidential candidate that Sanders most sounds like is arguably &#8230; Jerry Brown, the 1992 version.</p>
<h3>Sanders 2016 = Brown 1992</h3>
<p>Veteran California political analyst William Bradley, writing in the Huffington Post in 2014, described Brown&#8217;s &#8220;<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/william-bradley/jerry-brown-for-president_b_4619652.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Take Back America</a>&#8221; campaign of 1992:</p>
<blockquote><p>Running a not infrequently angry populist campaign, Brown vowed to &#8220;take back America from the confederacy of corruption, careerism, and campaign consulting in Washington.&#8221; He called for term limits on Congress and vowed to take contributions only from individuals and in amounts no greater than $100. In those pre-Internet days, Brown financed his campaign largely through an 800 number, which he flogged relentlessly. Just as some do with web sites URLs today. &#8230;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>In addition to his now customary themes on renewable energy and climate change, Brown championed a progressive version of a flat tax (in which corporations and some wealthy individuals would pay more), living wage measures and a single-payer health care system, and questioned international trade deals.</p></blockquote>
<p>In 2016, this sounds far more like Bernie Sanders than Jerry Brown&#8217;s current iteration as fiscal hawk who plays mostly small-ball politics, except on the environment.</p>
<h3>Brown alleged Clintons were corrupt</h3>
<p>The other interesting angle is that there may be no more prominent Democrat in America to publicly hold a low opinion of Bill and Hillary Clinton than Brown. In  the 1992 presidential race, as the Christian Science Monitor <a href="http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/The-Vote/2010/1016/Bill-Clinton-upstages-Jerry-Brown-in-California-governor-s-race" target="_blank" rel="noopener">notes</a>, the bad blood was plain to the world:</p>
<blockquote><p>They slammed each other’s positions and records, sometimes falsely – Clinton suggesting that Brown had raised taxes during his first stint as governor, Brown alleging that Clinton (as governor of Arkansas) had directed state contracts to Hillary Rodham Clinton&#8217;s law firm in Little Rock. And of course it’s all on <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iNl_dMVmuZQ" target="_blank" rel="noopener">tape</a>.</p></blockquote>
<p>Since then, Brown has had little good to say about either Clinton. In a March 2015 Washington Post <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2015/03/13/jerry-brown-says-challenging-hillary-clinton-is-like-challenging-jerry-brown/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">story </a>about his decision not to run for president again, Brown was asked about his relationship with Bill and Hillary Clinton. His vague response: &#8220;It&#8217;s all been written about.&#8221;</p>
<p>And Brown wouldn&#8217;t give her a pass on a controversy that is still in the news.</p>
<blockquote><p>When asked about the recent controversy over Hillary Clinton&#8217;s use of a private email account as secretary of state, Brown said he is not convinced <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/top-democrats-are-alarmed-about-clintons-readiness-for-a-campaign/2015/03/11/36c0763a-c818-11e4-aa1a-86135599fb0f_story.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">the issue </a>is a passing storm, as many other Democrats contend.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&#8220;I don’t know that,&#8221; Brown said. “With these things, what makes a difference, you often don’t know until it unfolds because nothing is just what it is. It’s always in part of a larger context. Things unfold and things happen.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<h3>Brown singled out Arkansas to mock</h3>
<p>More recently, during his only debate with Republican challenger Neel Kashkari in 2014, Brown held up the Clintons&#8217; home state for ridicule when he was asked about California&#8217;s ability to deal in the long term with its large unfunded pension liabilities.</p>
<p>“Are we in Arkansas or Mississippi? This is the eighth-largest economy in the world,” he said, ridiculing the idea that the nation&#8217;s richest, most populous state would struggle with such a challenge.</p>
<p>When singling out states that are considered the most socially and economically backwards, comedians and social media yuksters usually cite <a href="http://cdn.meme.am/instances/58654211.jpg" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Mississippi </a>or <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2IVIM6aw7M0" target="_blank" rel="noopener">West Virginia</a>. But not Jerry Brown.</p>
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		<title>Fiorina now lives in swing state, not CA</title>
		<link>https://calwatchdog.com/2015/09/23/fiorina-now-lives-swing-state-not-ca/</link>
					<comments>https://calwatchdog.com/2015/09/23/fiorina-now-lives-swing-state-not-ca/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Chris Reed]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2015 12:14:44 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics and Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[plus factor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carly Fiorina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Reed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[presidential bid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2010 California Senate defeat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Virginia resident]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[swing state]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vice presidential nominee]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://calwatchdog.com/?p=83325</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina&#8217;s Republican presidential campaign is in the middle of a boomlet, changing impressions left by her failed 2010 California Senate bid and prompting admiring reviews from]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Carly-Fiorina2.jpg"><img decoding="async" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-83355" src="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Carly-Fiorina2-300x200.jpg" alt="Carly Fiorina2" width="300" height="200" srcset="https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Carly-Fiorina2-300x200.jpg 300w, https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Carly-Fiorina2-1024x683.jpg 1024w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a>Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina&#8217;s Republican presidential campaign is in the middle of a boomlet, changing impressions left by her failed 2010 California Senate bid and prompting admiring reviews from both <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/why-the-pro-life-fiorinas-ascent-should-terrify-democrats/2015/09/21/867b3f1c-6060-11e5-9757-e49273f05f65_story.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">national </a>pundits and those <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/09/20/keep_your_eyes_on_the_race_carly_fiorinas_prepared_to_fight_128144.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here </a>in the Golden State. The belief seems to be building that she would be a strong GOP general election candidate if she can sustain her recent momentum.</p>
<p>But there is even more talk about her as a possible, even probable vice presidential candidate to counter the &#8220;war on women&#8221; narrative that Democrats are sure to resume using against Republicans in 2016. This is from a TIME magazine <a href="http://time.com/4038312/gop-debate-non-politician/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">analysis </a>Friday:</p>
<blockquote><p>Is it possible to have a runaway favorite for vice president? If it is, then Carly Fiorina is it.</p></blockquote>
<p>There&#8217;s one factor that would further encourage such speculation that doesn&#8217;t get much attention, however. Fiorina no longer lives in California. She&#8217;s now a Virginia resident &#8212; and it&#8217;s arguably as important a swing state as Florida and Ohio. In this 2012 <a href="http://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2012/07/13/156741555/why-new-swing-state-of-virginia-may-determine-presidency" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NPR story</a> about the heavy attention that President Obama and Mitt Romney were paying Virginia, it was labeled the &#8220;new Ohio.&#8221;</p>
<p>The old arguments about picking running mates based on their ability to bring their home states&#8217; Electoral College votes along aren&#8217;t as potent as they used to be. Mitt Romney may have picked Paul Ryan to give him a better chance in Wisconsin, but Barack Obama didn&#8217;t pick Joe Biden because he coveted Delaware&#8217;s electoral votes. John McCain didn&#8217;t pick Sarah Palin because he was targeting Alaska. George W. Bush didn&#8217;t pick Dick Cheney with the goal of winning Wyoming.</p>
<h3>Served as James Madison University trustee</h3>
<p>But as part of any cumulative consideration of who would most help Republicans win in 2016, swing-state residency is a plus factor. Fiorina has lived in Virginia since buying a $6.1 million mansion in 2011 in Mason Neck, a rural area by the Potomac River that&#8217;s at the far edge of the exurbs of Washington D.C. She&#8217;s become a part of the state&#8217;s political establishment and was named by then-Republican Gov. Bob McDonnell in 2012 to serve as a <a href="http://www.jmu.edu/president/mvs/features/fiorina-video.shtml" target="_blank" rel="noopener">trustee </a>on the James Madison University governing board, to the <a href="http://www.bluevirginia.us/diary/7074/bob-mcdonnell-appoints-demon-sheep-to-jmu-board-of-visitors" target="_blank" rel="noopener">disgust </a>of some Virginia liberals.</p>
<p>If she still lived in California, that fact alone wouldn&#8217;t be seen as much of a plus. Romney lost California by 3 million votes in 2012. McCain lost the Golden State by 3.3 million votes in 2008.</p>
<p>But Fiorina might still have attracted interest for the second spot from the GOP nominee for the same reason she&#8217;s doing well in a crowded GOP presidential field: She seems better at connecting with voters than most of her much more experienced rivals and can credibly offer herself as a Washington outsider. &#8220;Vice presidential selection is much more complicated than focusing on the single factor of home state electoral votes,&#8221; writes Joel K. Goldstein, a Saint Louis University law professor who is consider the nation&#8217;s <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/05/fashion/expert-on-vice-presidents-much-in-demand.html?_r=0" target="_blank" rel="noopener">leading scholar</a> on the vice presidency.</p>
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