By Brian Calle

Here’s an upbeat message on selling liberty from Judd Weiss, a libertarian activist. We mention pies.

Happy Thanksgiving!

By Mark Cabaniss

Democracy, it has been said, is two wolves and a sheep voting on what to have for dinner.

Yes, the sheep gets to vote.  And yes, in theory he could appeal to one of the wolves to break rank and vote with him instead of the other wolf.  But in reality, the sheep loses.  Every time.

The only way that the sheep could win, in a closed system, or zero-sum game, would be for him to convince one of the wolves that the other wolf would make a tastier meal than would the sheep himself.  Alternatively, he could try to convince one or both of the wolves that they are not, in fact, in a zero-sum game.  Historically, the sheep has had a difficult time doing this.

We can construct a simple model with only three voting blocs, each of which considers only its own economic interests when voting, each represented by one of the animals:

1. People who don’t pay taxes (Transfer Wolf);

2. Public employees (Public Wolf);

3. Private sector employees (Sheep).

At dinner time — oh, excuse me — voting time, there are two propositions on the ballot:

A. Shall we raise (or decrease) taxes and use the money to raise (or decrease) spending on Public Wolf?

B. Shall we raise (or decrease) taxes and use the money to raise (or decrease) spending on Transfer Wolf?

Voting

The voting goes like this:  On Proposition A, Public Wolf votes to raise taxes and raise his own pay.  Sheep votes to lower taxes and to lower Public Wolf’s pay.  Public Wolf and Sheep are at a stalemate.

Transfer Wolf sits this vote out.  Since he doesn’t pay taxes, he doesn’t care what tax rates are.  Nor does he care how much Public Wolf is paid, unless — unless he is paid to care.

On Proposition B, Transfer Wolf votes to raise his own benefits and to raise taxes to pay for them.  Both Public Wolf and Sheep vote against him.

Transfer Wolf has a problem. He has been outvoted.  But luckily for him, Public Wolf also has a problem: He is in a stalemate with Sheep.  The two wolves realize that they need each others’ votes, so they agree to work together, against Sheep.  Each will support the other’s position, and Sheep will be outvoted on both propositions.

In actual practice, the evidence suggests this is exactly what is happening — transfer payment recipients and government workers have formed a successful political coalition.  According to a recent article by demographer Nicholas Eberstadt, since 1960 total United States transfer payments have grown from $24 billion to just short of $2.2 trillion in 2010, nearly a 100-fold increase in the last half century.

Simultaneously, total government spending, federal and state and local, has gone from about 24 percent of GDP in 1960 to about 36 percent in 2010, growth of 50 percent.

Nash equilibrium

A Nash equilibrium, as popularized in the book and movie “A Beautiful Mind” about mathematician John Nash, posits a game stalemate dependent on two conditions: first, each player knows every other player’s strategy; second, despite knowing everything, each player is nonetheless unable to adjust his own strategy to make it more advantageous.

In politics, there are no secret strategies, since elections involve trying to gain adherents to your strategy over the other side’s.  But in our simple Fairy Tale, even though the first condition for Nash equilibrium is there — everyone knows everyone else’s position — there is nonetheless no equilibrium.

Public Wolf and Transfer Wolf will continue to vote in tandem, and thereby grow; Sheep will continue to be outvoted, and shrink.  If we graphed Sheep’s life expectancy, it would be a curve breaking straight down, inversely proportional to the growth of his two compatriots.

But when we consider the second condition necessary for a Nash Equilibrium, we see how Sheep can get out of his predicament: He simply has to change strategy and start competing with Public Wolf by directly bidding for Transfer Wolf’s vote.

Why hasn’t Sheep already thought of that?  He could, after all, promise to cut Public Wolf’s pay and then split the savings with Transfer Wolf, much as Public Wolf promises to raise taxes and split it with Transfer Wolf.

The reason for this is history, and the simple inability to think past it.

Sheep has always been opposed to raising taxes, whether it is to increase the size and pay of Public Wolf or whether it is to increase the size and pay of Transfer Wolf.

But, just because Sheep has always been opposed to these ideas in the past does not mean that he has to stay opposed to them in the future.  If Sheep could let go of his historical antipathy to Public Wolf and Transfer Wolf, he could seek to make a deal with one against the other.

Of course, there is yet one more way out for Sheep. He could potentially try to convince one or both of the wolves that their dinner choice is not a zero-sum game; that they could, in fact, join forces and go foraging in the woods together for something that all three animal friends could eat.

Historically, this approach has been a loser for Sheep.  At dinner time, both of the wolves are usually too hungry to listen to reasoned pleas about thinking outside the zero-sum model.

So the only bet for Sheep may be to undergo a paradigm shift, overcome his qualms, and make a deal with one of the wolves to dismember and eat the other.

— “Sweet Virginia,” by The Rolling Stones

NOV. 23, 2010

By JOHN SEILER

California has a lot of problems, with the budget, unemployment and all. But with Thanksgiving this week, I thought I’d list some of the things to be thankful for living in California.

* Weather. I’ve lived in a number of other states and visited Europe and Mexico, and no place has weather as good as California . I’ve also talked to airline pilots who fly all over the globe, and they say the same thing. Even other areas with a similar Mediterranean climate, such as Chile, Southern France, Greece, and parts of Australia, while close to the balmy weather of California, don’t match it.

* Almost no hurricanes. If you live in Florida, New Orleans or one of those places over there, every couple of years a hurricane destroys your house. California does have hurricanes, but not many.

* Celebrities. Ellie May of The Beverly Hillbillies was standing outside my Church in Huntington Beach a couple years ago, but left before I could get her autograph. In real life she’s the beauteous Donna Douglass. You don’t see stars like that back in Bug Tussle.

Other celebrities I’ve seen in Southern California include Bo Derek and Jane Russell, a 10 and an 11. They were at Republican functions I reported on.

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Where was I? Oh yeah.

And when I was working at the Orange County Register, we met Arnold Schwarzenegger, who certainly had star power, although even back then in 2002 and 2003 I disagreed with his policies.

A special treat was when Moses stopped by the Register for a long chat about anything — Charlton Heston, that is. It was before he got involved with the NRA. He liked our editorial page and wanted to talk to us. I got an autograph for my Mom, which she really enjoyed.

* Cutting-edge industries. Silicon Valley still propels the computer world. And the area around Irvine is the world’s creative center for medical devices.
Here’s that great 1984 ad introducing the Macintosh and which typified Apple’s, and California’s, creative spirit:

* Great technical universities. As with most schools in America, the humanities departments at most universities and colleges have been destroyed by “deconstructionism,” cultural Marxism and other anti-human fads. But the technical departments — biology, physics, medical school, computers, etc. —  are among the best in the world. Competition is tough and tuition is rising. But if your kid is smart enough, he doesn’t have to go out of state to get a great education.

Some economics departments, like that at Chapman University, also are excellent.

* Wine. Nowadays you can get California wine in many areas of the world. Gotta love that global economy. But many of our 1,200 wineries distribute only locally; or it’s hard to get them elsewhere. And in California, you can visit the local wineries that keep dropping like ripe grapes from a vine.

The Wine Country is the most famous. But I recently enjoyed a tour of the wineries in Temecula Valley, just an hour east of Orange County. Cheers!

* Beaches. That’s why we’re here, isn’t it? Beach Boys, Frankie and Annette, California Girls in the surf, a stroll along the surf at sunset.

* Monterey Peninsula. This is my favorite place in the world. I spent a year there back in 1978-79 attending the Defense Language Institute to learn Russian. Quite a change from boot camp at frozen Ft. Leonard Wood, Mo. a few weeks before.

* Guitars. Rickenbacker, based in Santa Ana, put the twang in the Beatles’ early records. With a Stratocaster, by Fender in Fullerton (now, Corona), Jimi Hendrix people believe me set the world on fire (to quote the Animals) at Monterey. Then there are Gretsch, B.C. Rich, Carvin and others. (A lot of these guitars now are made in China or Korea; but many still are built right here in California.)

Here’s John with a Rick and George with a Gretsch, both made in California:

And here’s Jimi with his Strat at Monterey, still insane after all these 43 years:

* Culture: The Getty Museum is a favorite. And there are world-class orchestras, including the L.A. Philharmonic, the Pacific Symphony and the San Francisco Symphony.

Here’s the Getty Villa:

* Restaurants. In many places in America your choice of international food is Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, Wienerschnitzel and the International House of Pancakes. We have those too in California, but you also can get authentic Mexican, Italian, German, Persian, Indian, Afghan, and dozens more — just down the street.

* Fewer bugs. Florida has pretty nice weather most of the time, but the place is infested with a large number of bugs from the swamps. California is largely an irrigated desert, so we don’t have that many bugs. I also grew up in Michigan, which can be nice in the summer, but is infested with so many mosquitoes you feel you’re on a U.S. Navy aircraft carrier in 1945 fighting off kamikazes.

* Thanksgiving in shorts. Where else can you have your Turkey and stuffing outside with family and friends, wearing shorts while sipping your favorite cocktail?

Happy Thanksgiving everybody.

John Seiler is a reporter and analyst for CalWatchDog.com. His email: writejohnseiler@gmail.com