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		<title>What CA can learn from North Dakota&#8217;s stunning boom</title>
		<link>https://calwatchdog.com/2014/06/19/ca-should-learn-from-n-dakotas-stunning-boom/</link>
					<comments>https://calwatchdog.com/2014/06/19/ca-should-learn-from-n-dakotas-stunning-boom/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Chris Reed]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jun 2014 15:15:41 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[California economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fracking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bakken shale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USC study]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Reed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2.8 million jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fracking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hydraulic fracturing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monterey Shale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[North Dakota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Occidental]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AEI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Enterprise Institute]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[California energy policy]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[The boom that North Dakota&#8217;s enjoyed because of fracking is usually depicted in newspaper stories and network reports as being about housing shortages and a flood of in-migration driven by]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-64950" src="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/frackND.jpg" alt="Traffic generated by an oil boom lines the main street in Watford City, North Dakota" width="311" height="186" align="right" hspace="20" srcset="https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/frackND.jpg 311w, https://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/frackND-300x179.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 311px) 100vw, 311px" />The boom that North Dakota&#8217;s enjoyed because of fracking is usually depicted in newspaper stories and network reports as being about housing shortages and a flood of in-migration driven by job hunters.</p>
<p>Rarely do accounts offer stark statistics that illustrate just how big the boom has been. Thankfully, a new <a href="http://www.aei-ideas.org/2014/06/chart-of-the-day-shale-oil-turned-one-of-americas-poorest-states-north-dakota-into-an-economic-miracle-state-2/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">American Enterprise Institute analysis</a> does so in dramatic fashion.</p>
<p>In a dozen years, North Dakota went from being one of the nation&#8217;s poorest states, grouped with some Southern states, New Mexico and West Virginia, to one of the richest, trailing only another energy giant &#8212; Alaska. That&#8217;s a pretty stunning success story &#8212; comparable to Japan&#8217;s and West Germany&#8217;s delayed post-World War II rebound in the 1960s and early 1970s, or to South Korea&#8217;s emergence in the last 20 years as a nation that&#8217;s wealthier than most of Europe.</p>
<p>Here are the details from AEI:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>&#8220;In 2000, North Dakota was the 8th least economically prosperous US states, ranking No. 43 in the country for per-capita real GDP that year &#8230; with GDP per person ($35,738) that was more than 20% below the national average ($44,808). In that year, North Dakota was a relatively minor oil-producing state, ranking ninth among the US states for oil production &#8230; .</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>&#8220;Starting around 2007, private oil drillers started successfully drilling for shale oil in North Dakota, thanks to advances in drilling and extraction technologies that allowed &#8216;petropreneurs&#8217; to finally tap into oceans of previously inaccessible unconventional oil in the Bakken oil fields in the western part of the state. &#8230; In just the three years between 2007 and 2010, North Dakota moved up 18 places in state rankings for per-capita real GDP, from No. 30 in 2007 to No. 12 in 2010. &#8230;</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>&#8220;After more than doubling from 2007 to 2010, annual oil production in the Peace Garden State more than doubled again in the two-year period from 2010 to 2012 &#8230; North Dakota was producing so much shale oil in the Bakken that it surpassed both Alaska and California to become the nation’s second-largest oil-producing state in 2012, behind only Texas. &#8230; by 2012, the energy-driven stimulus to the state’s economy moved North Dakota to the No. 2 spot in the country for per-capita real GDP at $64,871 behind only Alaska at $72,281, and 33.6% above the national average of $48,567. </em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>&#8220;In 2013, for the second year in a row, North Dakota again ranked No. 2 among US states for real GDP per capita at $68,804 &#8230; more than 40% above the national average.&#8221;</em></p>
<h3>California could enjoy a similar miracle</h3>
<p><img decoding="async" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-63174" src="http://calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/oxy.gif" alt="oxy" width="180" height="184" align="right" hspace="20" />The AEI number-crunching bears huge relevance to California, where the Monterey Shale&#8217;s oil reserves in the Central Valley and central Pacific coastal counties are believed to be several times as big as those in the Bakken Shale.</p>
<p>Federal energy officials have recently been more downbeat on California&#8217;s chances of accessing those reserves than they used to be, allegedly because of new concerns about geologic obstacles that they didn&#8217;t used to have. This doesn&#8217;t make sense &#8212; energy companies are better than ever at overcoming such obstacles. But it wasn&#8217;t all that surprising, given how often green bureaucrats pursue their own agendas.</p>
<p>Unsurprisingly, Occidental and other oil energy-exploration firms are far less apprehensive and continue to show great interest in expanding fracking of California&#8217;s shale. In its reports to shareholders &#8212; reports that Occidental must answer to the SEC for if they are judged deceptive &#8212; the energy company has estimated that California has <a href="http://calwatchdog.com/2012/11/15/occidental-ready-to-bring-bakken-phenomenon-to-california/" target="_blank">more than 20 billion</a> barrels of recoverable oil in its shale.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s more than twice as much as the rest of the U.S. combined. That&#8217;s 30 percent higher than the highest federal estimate before officials suddenly began to see geologic obstacles they hadn&#8217;t before.</p>
<h3>2.8 million new CA jobs. Repeat: 2.8 million new CA jobs</h3>
<p>That translates into a ton of money, to put it modestly. If anti-fossil fuel religious crusaders could be overcome, what might that mean for California? The <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-03-14/california-fracking-may-boost-state-economy-14-usc-says.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">USC report</a> from March 2013 still seems like a good guide.</p>
<p style="color: #2d2b2c; padding-left: 30px;"><em>&#8220;Development of oil-shale deposits through Central California using fracking and other techniques may boost the state’s economic activity by as much as 14.3 percent, a University of Southern California study said.</em></p>
<p style="color: #2d2b2c; padding-left: 30px;"><em>&#8220;Such drilling in the Monterey Shale Formation, in addition to increasing per-capita gross domestic product, may add as much as $24.6 billion in state and local tax revenue and as many as 2.8 million jobs by 2020, according to the report &#8230; .&#8221;</em></p>
<p style="color: #2d2b2c;">Those numbers seemed outlandish to some folks when they came out 16 months ago. If you look at the AEI&#8217;s report on North Dakota, they don&#8217;t seem outlandish at all.</p>
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