Political energy crisis in the making

June 9, 2013

By Katy Grimes

San_Onofre_Nuclear Plant

With industrial electricity rates 88 percent higher in California than in Texas last year, the news that the San Onofre nuclear plant in is not going to be restarted is just more evidence of a government created energy crisis in the making.

Due to  political pressure from Sen. Barbara Boxer, D-CA for the closure of one of California’s largest power plants,  a shortage of electricity is expected, power producers agree. But they claim they can handle it. At what cost?

It is 108 degrees in Sacramento today. If this is a sign of the summer ahead, a shortage of electricity is not good news.

And it’s even tougher to take knowing my $300-a-month California electricity bill would be $61  in Texas.

Gov. Jerry Brown wants us to practice conservation measures. Could this be a Gray Davis redux? “The governor also is urging continued conservation of electricity as the hot summer months approach,” Sacramento’s News10 reported.

“Steve Berberich of the California Independent System Operator, which runs the state’s transmission grid, said pockets of Southern California will likely be subjected to conservation alerts this summer as the demand for electricity grows,” the Sacramento Bee reported.

“‘It will be tight – we will have to have conservation messages out there,’ said Berberich, the ISO’s chief executive. ‘If we ask for conservation, we need (consumers) to respond.’ Gov. Jerry Brown issued his own call for conservation.”

California politicians created the problem the last time, and they can do it again.

California’s No-Nukes Act

The Nuclear Waste Act of 2012” was a ballot proposal which would immediately have prohibited the generation of nuclear power in the state, including by existing power plants. Fortunately, the initiative did not make it to the ballot. But that is the mindset of the party in political power in California.

The authors of the nuclear waste act claimed the Legislative Analyst’s Office’s fiscal analysis for the initiative was false and misleading, and prejudiced voters against signing our petition. They sued and tok the case all the way to the California Supreme Court, which refused to hear the case.

The last electricity crisis

The 2000-2001 California electricity crisis was caused by market and price manipulations, delays in approval of new power plants, and capped retail electricity prices.The state suffered from large-scale rolling blackouts. one of the state’s largest energy companies collapsed, and the economic fall-out led to the historic recall election of then Governor Gray Davis.

“California has a new energy crisis,” Forbes reported last month. “It’s not about power marketers manipulating electricity prices. And it’s not about oil spilling into the Pacific Ocean. It’s about the future of the long-standing nuclear facility in Southern California and whether the 1.4 million homes that it services will feel the effects of its shutdown.”

It takes double the power to replace the nuclear power by renewable and conventional energy. Most nuclear plants calculate 1000 Megawatts of power generates electricity to one million homes.

The California Legislative Analyst addressed the very real problem of what to replace nuclear power with, in their analysis of the 2012 proposed ballot initiative. “The state’s electricity authorities have stated that it would take many years to replace the electricity generating capacity of the two nuclear plants due to the current complexity of siting power plants and transmission lines.”

The two nuclear plants referred to by the LAO are The Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant, located in San Luis Obispo and owned by PG&E, and the San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station, mainly owned by Southern California Edison in San Diego County.

“These two plants produce enough electricity to power more than 6 million homes — nearly 10,000 megawatts of of power,” I wrote in 2012. “The cost of power generation to replace clean nuclear power would be more than double what nuclear power costs. This is because renewable energy only produces intermittently, and needs double the amount of conventional or nuclear energy produced in order to address the intermittency issue. In addition to needing more renewable energy to power the same number of homes, wind and solar still need conventionally produced energy as backup.”

It would take more than 20,000 MegaWatts of conventional energy to replace the nuclear power generated by the two nuclear plants in the state —  if additional conventional power plants could even be built.

Although the radiation isotopes must be contained, nuclear power only generates steam; there are no greenhouse gas emissions produced, which is why it is considered clean energy. Renewable energy is far more expensive to produce than nuclear, and unreliable as a primary energy source, according to the energy expert.

What now?

How is this going to impact the cost of power? Increases are inevitable. It’s not going to be pretty.

Texas has electricity deregulation, which is the direction California should be headed. But don’t hold your breath with the governor urging conservation measures.

8 comments

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  1. Hondo
    Hondo 8 June, 2013, 11:59

    Does that mean I can surf closer to San Onofre now? I surfed for years at the state park there and I still don’t glow in the dark.
    Hondo….

    Reply this comment
  2. jimmydeeoc
    jimmydeeoc 8 June, 2013, 12:31

    If 88% is correct – $160 in Texas, Katy…….not $60.

    Much, much cheaper, to be sure…but not THAT much.

    Reply this comment
  3. jimmydeeoc
    jimmydeeoc 8 June, 2013, 12:40

    I still maintain this is the single most insane sentence I have ever read in my life:

    “…..To comply with regulations, both of the decommissioned Huntington Beach gas power plants had their gas lines severed and three-foot holes were cut in the boilers…..”

    Our regulations authorize….no….REQUIRE….deliberate vandalism.

    Mr Lusvardi, 13 months ago:

    http://www.calwatchdog.com/2012/05/01/will-blackouts-darken-calif-this-summer/

    Reply this comment
  4. Tax Target
    Tax Target 8 June, 2013, 15:23

    You can rest assured that Comrade Brown and the rest of the politburo will do everything they possibly can to manufacture a crisis, and not let it to waste. They surely will use this crisis to bolster the States carbon credit trading, which is nothing more than an invented taxing scheme that circumvents the usual tax approval process.

    Rolling black outs brown outs asian outs white outs La Raza outs its all a coming to us comrades. Down here in the gulag we’re prepared for it. We’re leaving for good!

    Reply this comment
  5. Ulysses Uhaul
    Ulysses Uhaul 9 June, 2013, 18:54

    Target….your part of the solution or a white coat candidate?????

    Discernment of readers of your frenetic posts!

    Move already!

    Reply this comment
  6. Hank
    Hank 10 June, 2013, 09:28

    Upcoming “Brown” outs will not be unforeseen or unexpected. Look to AB 32, CARB and the slobbering love affair of the utilities and the Greens. Lots of money flowing in this closed loop.This upcoming fail was tried and proven a disaster in Europe but our know it all’s in California Government refused to listen.
    But Wait! It will get worse. Those on fixed incomes in Europe facing catastrophic utilities bills have a phrase, “Heat or Eat”. How charming and true, it will the same here soon.

    Reply this comment
  7. Ronald Stein
    Ronald Stein 10 June, 2013, 16:14

    Hopefully the silent majority of the 1.7 million homes and businesses in San Diego, Orange and southern Los Angeles County closest to San Onofre that were served by the huge 2,200 megawatt facility at SONGS will now get a chance to choose its replacement.
    • The Huntington Beach power plant is only 440 megawatts, i.e., only 20% of the capacity of SONGS.
    • The equivalent of 4 more clones to Huntington Beach would be required to make up the difference in power to serve the current 1,700,000 being served by SONGS.
    • More infrastructure and transmission lines may be required to bring Solar and Wind green power back from the desert to where the 1.7 million homes and businesses in Orange County and San Diego County are located.
    • The green power options may not be available 24/7 as green power relies on Mother Nature’s sun and wind.
    • Other power plants such as fossil fuel and natural gas, that can provide 24/7 power will produce more metric tons of smog producing pollutants, and more metric tons of carbon emissions.
    The choices are MORE emissions, and MORE costly energy, but hopefully the SILENT majority of the 1.7 million homes and businesses that will be breathing those extra emissions and paying higher costs for power, and not just the few vocal minority, will be able to make those choices.

    Reply this comment
  8. azcooler
    azcooler 18 July, 2013, 19:10

    I really feel sorry for folks who will need to air condition homes this summer in California.

    In Tucson where we are hotter that Saudia Arabia ( lots of days into 108F) We have been using evaporative precooling of the hot air before it is then cooled by air conditioning. The air that is bolwn into the room is not effected by the precooling the precooling is done on just the condenser loop.Pacific Gas and Electric have spem million on reports they have been paid to publish since the 1980’s how effectrive precooling the air that is used in air conditiong.

    It is too bad that the energy fools in California never figured out what we in Tucson have known since 1940.. in hot dry climates evaporative precooling works to reduce the energy that air conditioning uses by over 30%.

    Just Google PG&E and evaporative condensers you will see many report over 20 years old.

    The fools who are paid $300,000 a year to sit on the brains they have left will never get it.

    I laugh when Califorina homeowner will pay over $1000 a month to cool a small home.

    The jerks who run California see $800 per peak KWHR as no big deal

    I love the $160,000,000 Spent last summer to bring the Huntington Beach Gas fired power plant online that can never be used again to provide power.

    Reply this comment

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