Romney coattails? In California? Maybe

Oct. 23, 2012

By Chris Reed

After Barack Obama’s 61% to 37% wipeout of John McCain in California in 2008, we were spared the quadrennial tradition of some senior Republican peddling the idea that the GOP had a chance at the Golden State’s 50-plus electoral votes this campaign. The last time a Republican actually won California was George H.W. Bush in 1988.

But as strange as it may seem to talk about Mitt Romney having coattails in a state in which he has no chance of winning, it just might be true.

Over the past three weeks, on statewide races, the news has gotten worse for Prop. 30 and better for Prop. 32. In San Diego, where I live, polls seem to be moving in Republicans’ favor in the San Diego mayor’s race between Republican Carl DeMaio and Democrat Bob Filner and in the congressional race between GOP incumbent Brian Bilbray and Democratic challenger Scott Peters. Redistricting, it was assumed, left Bilbray at risk, leading to millions of dollars in super PAC ads targeting the 52nd congressional district race.

But I haven’t heard an insider talking up Peters’ chances for weeks.

What changed? Maybe we’re seeing a California version of the national dynamics that turned Romney from a clear underdog before the first debate on Oct. 3 to arguably a narrow favorite today.

The top of the ticket matters. More Republicans want to vote. More Democrats are disillusioned about the president.

Sometimes, it’s that simple — even in a state that regularly elects people like Pete Stark, Laura Richardson and John Burton.

5 comments

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  1. Ulysses Uhaul
    Ulysses Uhaul 23 October, 2012, 09:17

    Relax….Prop #187 doomed you gloomers to political purgatory to cleanse you…to free you from greed and malaise!

    Reply this comment
  2. Rex the Wonder Dog!
    Rex the Wonder Dog! 23 October, 2012, 10:06

    Peters is a trust fund baby who has NO chance of winning, and Demaio is behind pension reform which will carry the day. Not a good comparison as both Peters and Filner are very weak, and I really like Filner (but really cannot stand for Peters)……

    Reply this comment
  3. PJ
    PJ 23 October, 2012, 10:19

    If Prop 32 passes, the spigot of union money to Dems is shut down, which means the GOP might actually become a worthy adversary here.

    I love it that Moonbeam signed the original “fair share” law and will preside over its demise. Please!

    Reply this comment
  4. Ulysses Uhaul
    Ulysses Uhaul 23 October, 2012, 16:48

    Define “fair share” law for an ignorant citizen please!

    Reply this comment
  5. Hondo
    Hondo 24 October, 2012, 14:07

    Pardon me, but Pete Stark is very representative of the loonballs here in this state. He outa be guv here.
    Hondo…..

    Reply this comment

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