Trump memo orders Central Valley water changes

The Trump administration has launched a bold effort to up-end water policies in the Central Valley and the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta, calling for big changes that would favor farmers over endangered species in allocating water.

Helping craft the administration’s new approach: Deputy Interior Secretary David Bernhardt, a former lawyer and lobbyist for the Westlands Water District, which is the nation’s largest agricultural water district with 600,000 acres of farmland in Fresno and Kings counties.

As CalWatchdog reported in June 2017, the prospect of having Bernhardt overseeing the federal government’s California water policies was opposed by nearly all Democrats in Congress because of his history. Meanwhile, to GOP lawmakers from the Golden State, his nomination was seen as confirmation of Trump’s 2016 campaign promises to abandon the old status quo involving Central Valley agriculture.

The Oct. 19 memo signed by Trump reflected Bernhardt’s years of calling for lesser regulatory burdens, specifically including long-lived protections for endangered species. It underlined the determination of the Trump administration to make sure farmers got more water. The memo also ordered that major water projects receive faster environmental reviews.

Trump signed the memo before a campaign rally in Arizona while flanked by three California House members – Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy of Bakersfield, Jeff Denham of Turlock and Tom McClintock, who represents a wide swath of Central and Eastern California. All have denounced what they see as excessive federal deference to environmentalists – including by the George W. Bush administration, not just the Obama administration.

“This will move things along at a record clip, and you’ll have a lot of water,” Trump assured them.

But veterans of the water wars – including those who back Trump’s new policy – have warned farmers not to get their hopes up for the rapid changes the president predicted. More modest changes in policies by the last Bush administration were fought in both federal and state courts by well-funded environmental law firms. They won not just stays of federal orders but full victories from judges who agreed with their interpretation of Congress’ intent when it adopted far-reaching water laws last century.

Fight over economic impact of rules looms

Bernhardt’s remarks at a May 2017 Senate hearing point squarely to one coming fight with broad implications for all of the federal government. When asked whether the Interior Department would keep its commitment to “scientific integrity” in enforcing federal laws, Bernhardt said, “I will look at the science with all its significance and its warts. You look at that, you evaluate it and then you look at the legal decision you can make. In some instances the legal decision may allow you to consider other factors, such as jobs.”

The idea that governments can consider such economic factors when interpreting laws has been one of the favorite legal arguments of conservative and libertarian law professors since it was advanced in 1973 by Richard A. Posner, who went on to serve 36 years as a federal appellate judge and to emerge as one of the most important and provocative legal thinkers of the 20th century.

If there is any evidence this philosophy is leading to new Trump administration interpretations of federal laws, a strong legal challenge is certain – not just because of what it would mean for water policy but because it would give business interests a powerful new tool to challenge a wide range of laws that create economic burdens.

Posner’s most crucial, basic claim – that the “common law” that is the basis of the legal system holds efficiency as a value – is scoffed at by many legal academics. A Stanford law school analysis that was otherwise sympathetic to Posner’s theories says it is based on “ambiguous” precedents.

The fight over the Posner-Bernhardt view of the law is in some ways the reverse of normal fights over the extent of judicial authority. Democrats say the claim that “efficiency” is part of how laws should be interpreted was invented out of whole cloth, with no evidence it reflected the wishes of the nation’s founders. 

This is the line of argument often made by conservative strict constructionists, who reject the idea that the Constitution and other long-standing laws are “living documents” subject to new interpretations because of changing circumstances.

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  1. Dallas Weaver Ph.D.
    Dallas Weaver Ph.D. 25 October, 2018, 11:09

    Being the ultimate odd-ball scientist with all the required pedigrees and semi-retired, I actually read the FWS’s “Biological Opinion” on the Delta Smelt.

    This 440+ pages of lousy prose describe the crash of the delta smelt from the 1960’s to near present-day in crushing detail. They looked at everything from shifts in zooplankton to the overbite calm, however, they left out a major source of predation that changed dramatically over this time period: fish-eating birds.

    As anyone who knows anything about data analysis knows, leaving out a relevant parameter in an analysis is an excellent method of creating an incorrect or truly fraudulent analysis. You can’t correctly describe a 3 Dimensional problem in 2 Dimensions (think conic sections <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conic_sections where you get all sorts of 2D results from one 3D object ).

    In the 60's through the late 90's, the delta was awash in DDT and its relatives and this resulted in almost no fish-eating birds (bald eagles weren't the only fish-eating bird species to be impacted). DDT stays around in the ecology for decades so even after it was banned ( 70's except for the Forest Service's massive use), it would take decades for the impact to disappear.

    The FWS did a correlation analysis between the flows and the delta smelt with R^2 down in 0.4 range after massaging the data with zero offsets and non-linear fitting equations and other statistical games. However, by leaving out the dramatic increase in the populations of birds like cormorants, which are a very effective consumer of mid-water fish a few inches long, their analysis are scientifically meaningless. It would take about 50 delta smelt per day to feed one cormorant and we now have power lines dripping with them drying their wings. Given that the number of delta smelt at the pumping plants are in the few thousands/yr range, one cormorant can eat as much delta smelt as a major pumping plants per year.

    Just observe the graphs with the crash of the population and the flow rates from the biological opinion and the missing cormorant data from the Audubon annual survey (the fish and wildlife should have even better bird data somewhere in the bureaucracy). You know which one correlates with the delta smelt crash.

    They do note that the delta smelt doesn’t do well when the water becomes cleaner (less turbidity) but just use that information to selectively eliminate data points from the pumping plant data, when low turbidity ( < 12 NTU ) resulted in no delta smelt.

    It seems that they would do anything to avoid having threatened birds eating endangered or threatened fish. The same goes for most of the "biological opinions" on salmon that also exclude birds even when data show otherwise.

    Whether "environmental experts" actually read the documents the regulations are based upon appears questionable. When someone claims to want Science, he had better know what he is talking about or he may get answers that have birds eating fish as the real problem and DDT creating an abnormally high delta smelt population being used as a baseline.

    Reply this comment
  2. Dude McCool
    Dude McCool 25 October, 2018, 11:34

    To Governor Brown-stain,

    HA HA HA HA HA! Suck it up you brown spot on the carpet.

    Reply this comment
  3. Spurwing Plover
    Spurwing Plover 5 November, 2018, 15:36

    Its about time more water went to the Central Valley Farmers instead of diverting it for some useless 3 inch fish The Delta Smelt

    Reply this comment

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Chris Reed

Chris Reed

Chris Reed is a regular contributor to Cal Watchdog. Reed is an editorial writer for U-T San Diego. Before joining the U-T in July 2005, he was the opinion-page columns editor and wrote the featured weekly Unspin column for The Orange County Register. Reed was on the national board of the Association of Opinion Page Editors from 2003-2005. From 2000 to 2005, Reed made more than 100 appearances as a featured news analyst on Los Angeles-area National Public Radio affiliate KPCC-FM. From 1990 to 1998, Reed was an editor, metro columnist and film critic at the Inland Valley Daily Bulletin in Ontario. Reed has a political science degree from the University of Hawaii (Hilo campus), where he edited the student newspaper, the Vulcan News, his senior year. He is on Twitter: @chrisreed99.

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